Elon Musk During The Tesla Q4 2024 Earnings Call: “When People Look Back On 2025 And The Launch Of Unsupervised FSD, They May Regard It As The Biggest Year In Tesla’s History”

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Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has now disclosed its earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024, managing to post broadly negative results relative to Wall Street's consensus expectations.

Tesla (TSLA) Q4 2024 Earnings

Revenue In Billions Of Dollars
Revenue
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Q4 2023
25
Q3 2024
25
Q4 2024 Consensus
27
Q4 2024 Actual
25

Tesla has reported $25.707 billion in revenue for the fourth quarter of 2024, badly missing consensus expectations of $27.3 billion. The reduction in the company's ASP played a major role in this miss.

Related Story Tesla Shares Gain 4.8% – Morgan Stanley Insists Stock Is Still A Top Pick
Tesla's Segmental Revenue In Millions Of Dollars
Q4 2023
Q4 2024
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Automotive Revenue
21.6k
19.8k
Energy
1.4k
3.1k
Other Sources
2.2k
2.8k

The above chart gives a segmental overview of Tesla's top-line metric.

The following snippet summarizes the EV giant’s production activities during the quarter:

Tesla's Production Activities

As we reported earlier this month, Tesla delivered 495,570 units in Q4 2024 against a production level of 459,445 units.

For the entire 2024, Tesla delivered 1,789,226 EVs, falling short of its stated guidance that it would exceed 2023's total deliveries of 1.81 million units.

Tesla's Auto Gross Margin (ex-Regulatory Credits)
Margin
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Q4 2023
17
Q3 2024
17
Q4 2024 Consensus
16
Q4 2024 Actual
13

Moreover, Tesla's auto gross margin (ex-Regulatory Credits) printed at 13.59 percent for the just-concluded quarter against consensus expectations of 16.20 percent.

Finally, the EV giant has announced $0.73 in non-GAAP (adjusted) EPS, missing consensus expectations of $0.77.

Tesla also recognized over half a billion dollars in gains from the upward revaluation of its Bitcoin holdings.

The following snippet summarizes the company's latest guidance:

Tesla Guidance

While earlier the EV giant's stock was down around 4 percent in after-hours trading, it just turned positive. Investors are reacting to Tesla's broad-based miss on almost all metrics. The ensuing carnage, however, is currently being limited by Tesla's guidance, which sees its energy business growing by 50 percent year-over-year in 2025 as well as the fact that Tesla's rollout of new models remains on track.

During the earnings call, Elon Musk announced that Tesla's unsupervised FSD service will launch in Austin, Texas by June 2025.

However, he also stated that HW3 cars will have to be upgraded, conceding that the step would be "painful."

On the year's outlook, Musk declared:

"2025 is a pivotal year for Tesla. When people look back on 2025 and the launch of Unsupervised FSD, they may regard it as the biggest year in Tesla's history; It will be regarded as the most important year in Tesla's history."

Elsewhere, while alluding to the $10 trillion opportunity around the Optimus robot, Elon Musk declared that initial commercial deliveries will take place by "the second half of next year." He also noted:

"We plan to ramp Optimus production faster than anything has ever been ramped. An order of magnitude per year; That's the kind of growth we are talking about; It won't be long before we are making 100 million of these things per year."

At the conclusion of the earnings call, Tesla shares are up ~5 percent in after-hours trading.